Moving your money to overseas markets isn’t going to protect it. Other countries are having similar liquidity and bond issues. When the bubble bursts it’s going to be world wide.
Also fundamentals don’t mean shit when the bubble pops. Everything will come crashing down because everyone is panicking and knows that everyone else is also panicking. It will have a domino effect and even markets that aren’t even part of the bubble will get hit.
I’m still invested in some US stocks, but I’m switching my US market exposure to an index fund that weights by actual sales, revenue, and other objective factors, rather than market cap. Companies don’t even get into the index unless they turn a profit first.
“Very soon” that’s what’s been said for years now. I too think this isn’t sustainable, but it sure feels like it’ll keep rolling for a number of years.
Can still make plenty of money in non-US index funds.
Though I must say, my EM Asia ETF blew up right in my face. Somewhat softened by the fact that I figured it was going to peak and sold at 61 EUR to rebuy more at 59. It just happened to drop further after holding near 59 for a while. But at least I skipped out on two euros worth of price drop AND bought more shares than I originally had.
One of the two things I have left in US-run ETF companies is, ironically, my lovely WisdomTree NASDAQ 100 3x daily short which went up a ton on Friday though. I’m predicting it’ll go up even more when SpaceX is admitted into the index lol
Yup I moved mostly out of usd, no stocks listed in the US, no US Treasuries.
I see either default or massive inflation or both in the cards for the US very soon.
Moving your money to overseas markets isn’t going to protect it. Other countries are having similar liquidity and bond issues. When the bubble bursts it’s going to be world wide.
Also fundamentals don’t mean shit when the bubble pops. Everything will come crashing down because everyone is panicking and knows that everyone else is also panicking. It will have a domino effect and even markets that aren’t even part of the bubble will get hit.
Agreed, but they shouldn’t tank as bad and businesses with healthy profits and a history of dividends should bounce back quickly.
It’s just not worth paying capital gains to pull it out of the market.
Yea I don’t know why people think that this AI bubble is just in the USA, this is a global race, not just a US thing.
I’m still invested in some US stocks, but I’m switching my US market exposure to an index fund that weights by actual sales, revenue, and other objective factors, rather than market cap. Companies don’t even get into the index unless they turn a profit first.
Which index is that?
FNDX and similar.
https://www.schwab.com/research/mutual-funds/tools/schwab-funds/index-funds/fundamental
“Very soon” that’s what’s been said for years now. I too think this isn’t sustainable, but it sure feels like it’ll keep rolling for a number of years.
“markets can remain irrational a lot longer than you and I can remain solvent.”
Yup I’m definitely foregoing upside but I don’t want to be stressing about trying to find the best time to exit every day.
Can still make plenty of money in non-US index funds.
Though I must say, my EM Asia ETF blew up right in my face. Somewhat softened by the fact that I figured it was going to peak and sold at 61 EUR to rebuy more at 59. It just happened to drop further after holding near 59 for a while. But at least I skipped out on two euros worth of price drop AND bought more shares than I originally had.
One of the two things I have left in US-run ETF companies is, ironically, my lovely WisdomTree NASDAQ 100 3x daily short which went up a ton on Friday though. I’m predicting it’ll go up even more when SpaceX is admitted into the index lol