• absquatulate@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    107
    ·
    9 days ago

    Interesting. I thought companies usually waited until they at least had a good product or cashflow before going for enshittification.

    • SupraMario@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      113
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      9 days ago

      It is odd that the 3 big players are trying to rush to IPO… probably to dump their shit and cash out before the bag holders have time to sell… I’ve got a feeling they know it’s going to crash soon.

      • artyom@piefed.social
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        23
        ·
        9 days ago

        They have to beat OpenAI and SpaceXitter because they’re afraid the investors will jump on the first AI bandwagon that comes around and have less or no money for them.

      • 🌸𝓯𝓵𝓸𝔀𝓮𝓻🌸@sh.itjust.works
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        7
        ·
        9 days ago

        And there is a waiting time after the IPO before cashing out is possible, half a year or so. Critics with some knowledge expected the bubble to pop somewhere in 2027, so with the half year waiting period they have to make their move soon or they’ll sell on the downslope.

      • RxBrad@infosec.pub
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        4
        ·
        8 days ago

        They have a lot less runway to enshittify than everything else we’ve seen recently. Because AI is way more expensive than anything else we’ve gotten for “free”. Which means they’re already on borrowed time.

        Hopefully they get it over with sooner rather than later. The longer it takes, the more my retirement savings gets fucked.

        • SupraMario@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          8 days ago

          Did the rule that allows 401k to be invested in stocks like this shit get passed? Cause that’s going to fuck so many peoples retirement (mine included). And when these companies pop, we’re going to be holding the bag.

          • RxBrad@infosec.pub
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            1
            ·
            8 days ago

            The mutual funds in a typical 401k are just a bunch of stocks like this, wrapped up in a value meal package.

            If you have a 401k, you probably already own stock in Nvidia, Tesla, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta, etc…

            • SupraMario@lemmy.world
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              1
              ·
              8 days ago

              I know they’re mutual funds but there was rules if I remember that didn’t allow the 401k funds to be used for high risk stocks like these.

      • chocrates@piefed.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        18
        ·
        9 days ago

        Is there any way to get my 401k to not invest in this shit?
        I don’t want my entire retirement to go up in smoke… Again. There isn’t even that much of it 😭

        • vagrancyand@sh.itjust.works
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          14
          ·
          edit-2
          9 days ago

          Real answer:

          Depends on who manages your 401k. Some servicers do allow ‘custom’ or otherwise ‘alternative’ management options, with some allowing you to focus on specific companies or industries.

          Others might take your call at least and if you raise enough of a stink you might get shoved into an alternative plan out of spite, but that’s what you want, so you win.

          Joke Answer

          Take out all your money, pay off the fee, use the money to buy a used Komatsu D355A crawler tractor and at least a half pallet each of of concrete bags and rebar as well as an extra diesel tank and a decent amount of diesel. Then just find your local senator’s personal home and

        • UniversalBasicJustice@lemmy.blahaj.zone
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          4
          ·
          9 days ago

          My split is currently 10% traditional “retirement target date” 20% small cap US and 70% International Index. All Vanguard. There are also emerging market and more granular international funds. Talk to your servicer.

      • Tollana1234567@lemmy.today
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        2
        ·
        9 days ago

        we will know things have gotten worst, when conferences suddenly stop hositng AI startups events/ideas all the time. conferences near where i work is soley only doing AI related events nothing else. adjacent industry will likely suffer to like catering food to Ai companies.

    • Tollana1234567@lemmy.today
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      9 days ago

      they enshittified first before actually putting out a “product”, also with so many AI ceos suddenly coming out trying to peddle some form of the "innovation, it got anthropoic nervous. Thiel, Karp, ALTMAN,google, MS,etc did it all the same time.

  • Jhex@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    48
    ·
    edit-2
    8 days ago

    how can you file confidentially for a public offering?

    that’s like throwing a public party where you are expecting to make money off the cover charge but not telling anyone about it

      • w3dd1e@lemmy.zip
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        7
        ·
        9 days ago

        But don’t the public investors need that info to decide? Like a prospectus?

        I don’t know that much about IPOs. I’m just assuming.

        • ohulancutash@feddit.uk
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          6
          ·
          9 days ago

          First the SEC and other authorities need to vet the offering. By filing confidentiality this initial stage is kept from competitors.

          It means that instead of filing publicly 90-120 days ahead, they can hold off public prospectus to 21 days ahead of launch.

    • ohulancutash@feddit.uk
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      10
      ·
      9 days ago

      First an IPO has to get SEC approval. A confidential filing means they send the information to the SEC without it being generally available. The public prospectus follows after approvals are given.

      • reluctant_squidd@lemmy.ca
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        5
        ·
        8 days ago

        By financially dragging anyone they can else they can in with them, in a desperate reach for riches. Or is it a desperate reach to try and cover their losses?

        Probably both.

        • Echo Dot@feddit.uk
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          3
          ·
          8 days ago

          But won’t that be good thing as it’ll make AI less appealing to middle managers who are basically the only people who actually want to use it.

      • AEsheron@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        5
        arrow-down
        1
        ·
        8 days ago

        Well, they were one of the best of the turds. I was kind of hoping they’d stick around and be a mitigating force on the AI market that at least taps the brakes on all the bullshit. Seems unlikely now.

  • melsaskca@lemmy.ca
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    27
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    8 days ago

    Does the US Stock Market even mean anything anymore? It’s been screwed and manipulated by so many people it’s mostly a dead corpse that holds no real value for society anymore. Just a broken money tool of the rich.

    • BeMoreCareful@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      17
      ·
      8 days ago

      I think, at this point, it’s really just like a dozen people trying to control the world via trading money that is essentially meaningless to them.

      • msage@programming.dev
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        13
        ·
        8 days ago

        And holds peoples retirements and investments.

        Since you have very few places to put money into that won’t get eaten by inflation.

  • rumba@lemmy.zip
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    22
    ·
    8 days ago

    I worked for a company once that went IPO and we had stock units assigned to us.

    CEO: Companies try to stay private for as long as they can, they don’t just IPO for the hell of it. They’re trying to solve a problem with money. Maybe they owe people money, maybe they need to spend a bunch of money to take the company to the next level. An IPO doesn’t fix any problems; rather, it turns one set of problems into a bigger, harder set of problems.

      • rumba@lemmy.zip
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        4
        ·
        7 days ago

        You don’t have to IPO to cash out, people cash out of private ventures all the time.

        If the founders all want to cash out at once, or there’s a iceberg that the see, or the company isn’t as liquid as it needs to be to cash out…

        I strongly suspect they either can’t find or sustain the profit, or they think the bubble is close enough to get out early.

          • rumba@lemmy.zip
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            2
            ·
            6 days ago

            It brings tons of money, but also a microscope and public disclosure. You lose a LOAD of control over the company and get to be inspected by lots of entities. And if you have a badish quarter, you’re held directly accountable by the public.

            They usually don’t want all that if the company is doing fine.

    • tmyakal@infosec.pub
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      12
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      8 days ago

      I can. They’re propping up the whole stock market at this point. Pretty much the definition of “too big to fail.” So when they inevitably fail, Congress is going to give them our tax dollars.

    • Dr. Moose@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      4
      arrow-down
      5
      ·
      8 days ago

      People are delusional in believing this will actually happen and it just makes everyone passive and have inverse effect we want for just and fair society. So maybe stop waiting and start doing.

  • Moxie_empathizer@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    15
    ·
    9 days ago

    A company worth 4 billion has produced 5 billionaire…its all a crock. Apologies, thought we were talking of Palantir.

  • wildncrazyguy138@fedia.io
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    16
    arrow-down
    5
    ·
    9 days ago

    I really hope that some of these big players in the AI market will stay private. There are already enough headwinds to them being a force of good in the world without having to report to shareholders of the lowest denominator.

    • fpslem@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      5
      ·
      9 days ago

      I assume they are all running for the public exit because they are losing money faster than they can raise it and don’t have any reliable business models to which they can transition in the near term. If they can’t become profitable, the next best thing is to go public while the hype is hot and to cash out ASAP.

      • wildncrazyguy138@fedia.io
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        8 days ago

        There was an interesting podcast recently from freakonomics about Epic software and how it’s always been private. It reinforced my perception that companies do better for humanity when they stay private.

        Most C corps have the same tragedy of the masses problem that we face with pollution and resource scarcity. Not to mention that the average anything is mediocre. So, in a word, yes.

        • minorkeys@sh.itjust.works
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          2
          ·
          8 days ago

          They at least have the freedom to do better, many do not. Shareholders don’t give a fuck about anything but profits and made it illegal for a company to do otherwise.

  • boaratio@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    11
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    8 days ago

    Why do all these headlines say that a company “confidently” files for an IPO? I’m assuming it’s just AI, but man is that tired and confusing.

        • ID10T@programming.dev
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          7 days ago

          It does, actually. From the article:

          Anthropic’s confidential filing will give regulators a period to look over the company’s financial disclosures before the AI firm’s investor prospectus becomes public. Filing confidentially has become common for major firms, with SpaceX approaching its IPO in the same manner. […] “This gives us the option to go public after the SEC completes its review. The proposed initial public offering will depend on market conditions and other factors,” Anthropic said.

        • MacAttak8@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          8 days ago

          From my limited understanding this info will eventually become public as you imply but Anthropic must feel keeping this info private for now is in their benefit.

          I fully suspect it would hurt their image and IPO and that’s why they are hiding it for now. To get as large of IPO as possible.

  • RampantParanoia2365@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    4
    ·
    8 days ago

    As the Bloodhound Gang said: Lift your head up high, and blow your brains out.

    *Whoops, that’s confidentially, not confidently. Still.

  • Major_Tsiom@fedia.io
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    2
    ·
    9 days ago

    Hmmm, well that can only go really bad or really good for investors, I would think. No middle ground here. It just depends on what the mob does.

  • rose56@lemmy.zip
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    2
    ·
    7 days ago

    Market manipulation it is then. Let’s go lads! I will be dancing over their grave once they go bankrupt.

  • CanIFishHere@lemmy.ca
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    4
    arrow-down
    4
    ·
    9 days ago

    I predict it will be a very good buy. Anthropic is one of the leading AI companies.